What’s to come in 2016 for the currency markets? After the Panel Discussion we organized in December (whose recording you can still watch), our team created different content to help our readers understand what topics and trends should unfold this year. Here you have those special reports.
Interviewing the Experts
New Year, new life. Or so they say. Is this actually true for the markets? Coming into the New Year, we have interviewed ten of our best contributors trying to get a glance on which topics may be the key ones in this brand new 2016.
Read our summary
Here you have each expert’s full interview:
- ‘Crowded dollar long trade may struggle in 2016’ – Matt Weller, FOREX.com
- ‘It’s worth thinking who will win in a world of cheap oil and limited inflation’ – Simon Smith, FxPro
- ‘Fed to rein back on expectations of tightening, could constrain USD strength in 2016’ – Richard Perry, Hantec Markets
- ‘Bond prices to get hit very hard in 2016’ – Rob Booker
- ‘AUD could be the best-performing currency in 2016, JPY the worst, Euro likely to surprise’ – Barbara Rockefeller
- ‘Traders should be prepared for a potential global equities crash in 2016’ – Nenad Kerkez, Admiral Markets
- ‘Monetary policy divergence to be the source of volatility in 2016’ – Yohay Elam, Forex Crunch
- ‘Central banks, oil weakness to dominate 2016, USD likely to be the big winner’ – Rob Colville, The Lazy Trader
Analysis for Currencies and Central Banks
Our in-house analysts wrote a series of articles with their forecasts for 2016 for the major currency pairs and the main Central Banks around the world.
- EUR/USD: Central Banks’ arm-wrestling won by the FED, by Valeria Bednarik
- GBP/USD: BoE liftoff could be delayed, Bears could target 1.45-1.4280, by Omkar Godbole
- USDJPY: downward correction towards 115.50 before 130.00 becomes likely, by Valeria Bednarik
- Gold: A tale of two halves, $ 900 could be a key reversal point, by Dhwani Mehta
- ECB: Draghi to do whatever it takes to stabilize prices, by Srimoyee Pandit
- Fed: How many times will they hike rates?, by Srimoyee Pandit
- PBoC: China supply reform to speed up, more easing likely, by Srimoyee Pandit
- RBA: Stevens to look for alternative to boost growth, by Srimoyee Pandit
- BoE: When will they raise rates?, by Srimoyee Pandit
- BoJ: No plans for immediate easing, by Srimoyee Pandit
- SNB: Swiss economic policies need to keep Eurozone in mind, by Srimoyee Pandit
Survey: Forecasting currencies and commodities
To get a bigger picture on what the market expects, we did a survey among 48 contributing experts about their predictions on some trends and prices for currencies and commodities as well as developing macroeconomic events.
Read part 1 / Read part 2